- Back Office Buzz
- Posts
- FOOTBALL IS BACK!!!!! 🏈
FOOTBALL IS BACK!!!!! 🏈
PLUS: Why Zach Wilson's birthday will help the Jets secure a victory🥳, Wyndham Championship bet that I LOVE ⛳️, & OVERreaction/UNDERreaction rookie edition 👶!
EIGHT GLORIOUS MONTHS OF HEAVEN KICKS OFF TONIGHT AND I COULD CRY 😭
Okay, it might only be the Hall of Fame Game, and Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson will not be suiting up, but two NFL teams are going to go head-to-head in Canton, Ohio. And, for me, that means football is back, baby! The best betting sport in the world is back. LET'S GOOOO!!! 💰💸🤑
Before we start betting, if you aren't signed up for these sportsbooks, use these offers for free money when you bet. If you don't have one of these sportsbooks, you might as well sign up, place a bet on tonight's game, and win even more! 🤑
Hall of Fame Game: Jets vs Browns
Are we degenerates for gambling on the Hall of Fame Game? Maybe. Are we going to drop a 💰 on a game that doesn’t matter at all? Definitely. 🤣 I have said this once, and I will say it again: THIS IS WHERE WE FIND THE EDGE WITH SPORTS GAMBLING, IN UNPOPULAR MARKETS/GAMES. So let’s get started and make some money!
Jets Moneyline (-130)
We obviously won’t see Rodgers except on the sideline potentially calling a couple of plays, but New York has a streak to protect. The Jets have maintained an impressive record in the preseason, going 6-0-1 in their last seven exhibition slates dating back to 2019. Adding to that, Robert Saleh, their head coach, has not lost a preseason game so far.
While we all joke and make fun of Zach Wilson and his historically bad year last season, he is a better option at QB over the Browns’ Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Kellen Mond. Wilson has more experience, a chip on his shoulder, and has possibly learned valuable insights from Rodgers, who has been an excellent mentor during training camp. Additionally, it's his birthday and quarterbacks tend to perform better on their birthdays.👇
Quarterbacks who have played on their birthday in the past five years actually do perform significantly better (from a fantasy perspective) than when playing on non-birthday days.
Birthday quarterbacks gain an impressive average of 7.9 yards per attempt. Those same quarterbacks typically average 6.6 YPA when playing on non-birthday days. That’s a rise of about 20 percent.
And they don’t just perform better from a yardage perspective, either. Birthday quarterbacks also score about 29 percent more fantasy points per attempt (0.52 vs. 0.40).
I'd say go for the 2-point spread in favor of the Jets, but I'm personally opting for a safer approach since preseason games can be unpredictable. Teams treat these games as live practice, experimenting with their plays, particularly in the red zone and on two-point conversions. Therefore, I'm avoiding the spread. Instead, playing the moneyline seems like a better option for a more secure bet.
NFL FOOTBALL TODAY WE BACK
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz)
4:13 AM • Aug 3, 2023
Under 33.5 Points (-110)
In seven out of the past 10 Hall of Fame games, the total points scored were 33 or fewer, although last year's game between Jacksonville and Las Vegas ended with a 27-11 score. Considering the Jets and Browns are both defense-oriented teams, it's likely that defenses will dominate, as they often do, especially in games involving third- and fourth-string players.
The average score over the last ten games in Canton stands at 29.3 points, so it makes sense to bet the Under here.
Wyndham Championship
I’m not huge into betting on the Wyndham Championship but I do have a bet that I LOVE!
To make the FedExCup playoffs more exclusive, the postseason field has been reduced from the Top 125 to the Top 70 entering it. Justin Thomas currently sits at 79th in points. Despite this, Thomas has consistently made it to the Tour Championship for the last seven seasons and even won the 2017 FedExCup title.
Although he is having a bad year, in order for him to advance, he needs to SHOW UP in this tournament. If he finishes outside the Top 18 in this week's tournament, Thomas will undoubtedly miss the advancement. So far this season, he has secured five Top-18 results in 19 starts, with the last one being at the Travelers Championship (T9).
Considering this, my bet is on Thomas to finish in the Top 20 in this tournament.
Jalin Hyatt, New York Giants Wide Receiver
OVERRATED - BET THE UNDER!
Video: #Giants Daniel Jones to rookie to speedy Jalin Hyatt for a deep touchdown in double coverage.
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman)
3:40 PM • Aug 3, 2023
The Giants picked Jalin Hyatt 73rd overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He's been making impressive catches during training camp, leading fans to call him the breakout wide receiver of the 2023 draft.
While this makes sense considering the Giants' struggles with their receiving corps last year, this might not be his year to shine. The team has retained key contributors from 2022, like Darius Slayton and Isaiah Hodgins, and added explosive playmaker Parris Campbell and star tight end Darren Waller. Additionally, Sterling Shepard and Wan'Dale Robinson will return after recovering from ACL surgeries.
Hyatt has the potential to be good, but he's in a very crowded wide receiver room and is mainly known for his explosive style. In college, he averaged 18.9 yards per catch, just shy of an explosive play. He might have an explosive play every once in a while, but his use for the team will be mainly to stretch the field.
Jason Brownlee, New York Jets Wide Receiver
OVERRATED - BET THE UNDER!
OMG @Slideweezy 🤯🤯🤯
— New York Jets (@nyjets)
6:10 PM • Aug 1, 2023
Jason Brownlee, an undrafted free agent, has the potential to be a great find for the Jets. However, he also finds himself in a crowded wide receiver room behind Garrett Wilson, Allen Lazard, Mecole Hardman, Corey Davis, and eventually Davante Adams, when he joins the team halfway through the year.
He might be making amazing highlights, but this Jets social media team is making even better ones.
Reply