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- JUMP on This Nick Bosa Prop Bet + Super Bowl Gatorade Color đź’¦
JUMP on This Nick Bosa Prop Bet + Super Bowl Gatorade Color đź’¦
PLUS — The Tortured Bettors Department: Taylor Swift prop bets to lock in
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While we’ll dive more into the nitty-gritty of Super Bowl bets in Thursday’s edition of the newsletter, we have fun bets on deck in today’s edition of Back Office Buzz in addition to some on-field bets and daily fantasy locks.
Only crazy people true football fans are watching the lines move for national anthem length time, Gatorade color, and Travis Kelce-Taylor Swift proposal odds.
Keep scrolling or click the table of contents below to find out the best bets around fun prop bets in addition to insights on walk-off field goals, Nick Bosa, and more.
However, before we dive into it, we need to know your Gatorade guesses!
What color will the Super Bowl Gatorade bath be?Odds via DraftKings |
Our guess is orange, and we’re locking it in at +300.
IN TODAY'S BACK OFFICE BUZZ
THE TORTURED BETTORS DEPARTMENT
We’ll get to more standard prop bets for the Super Bowl in a bit, but Taylor Swift props kick things off.
For much of this NFL season, the football world has raved about the Grammy-winning pop star’s relationship with Chiefs star tight end Travis Kelce.
Now, you can bet on Swift-themed player props at DraftKings Sportsbook. (Unfortunately, no legal sportsbooks in the US will likely offer anything directly related to Swift’s actions at the game.)
Here are a few on-the-books props for Swifties, who might recognize the titles:
Fifteen: Patrick Mahomes 15+ Rush Yards / 215+ Pass Yards (-140)
Today Was A Fairy Tale: Travis Kelce 1+ TD / Chiefs Win (+240)
Red: Chiefs Score 22+ Points in the First Half (+1200)
Get The Game Day’s full breakdown of Taylor Swift props. — Frank Ammirante
Travis Kelce talks about Taylor Swift’s fans becoming Chiefs fans and Travis Kelce fans this season. #Swifties
— Arash Markazi (@ArashMarkazi)
2:38 AM • Feb 6, 2024
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BEST SUPER BOWL EXOTIC PROP BETS
The best (objectively) Super Bowl props to bet on are also some of the most popular ones: the national anthem time length, the color of Gatorade poured on the winning head coach, and of course, the coin toss at the beginning of the game.
Coin Toss 🪙
Let’s start with the coin toss, probably the most popular novelty prop that’s offered by legal sportsbooks. The betting world has already seen multiple six-figure wagers on the coin toss this year (tails, baby), and the money is expected to flow in on the outcome this week.
Tails has been the call in seven of the last 10 Super Bowls, living up to the saying “tails never fails.” Read more about why we’re betting Tails for the Super Bowl Coin Toss.
Gatorade Bath Color đź’¦
The color of Gatorade used is normally a closely guarded secret. Desperate bettors will reach out to players on Instagram or go trolling Getty Images to figure out any crumb of information.
In last year’s game against the Eagles, Andy Reid had a purple Gatorade bath when the Chiefs won. But, in 2020 against San Francisco, he celebrated with orange.
Our Gatorade bath color prediction is orange, which you can grab on DraftKings Sportsbook at +300.
National Anthem Length 🇺🇸
Lastly, the national anthem, which is being sung by Reba McEntire this year, is able to be bet in Canada ONLY right now.
Our John Arlia took a look at how to bet the national anthem length, so make sure you check out that analysis. — Sam Wagman
Keep scrolling to dive deeper into more Super Bowl novelty bets 👇👇👇
Jersey Number of 1st TD Scorer: Over 22.5 (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook
This prop is heavily linked to believing that Christian McCaffrey will score the first TD of Super Bowl 58.
Naturally, No. 22 has a good chance of converting on the wager. CMC has rushed for two TDs in each NFC playoff game so far and found the end zone in all six of his career playoff games.
In addition, bettors have another logical out with Travis Kelce (No. 87). The veteran has caught a TD pass in eight of his last nine postseason outings.
George Kittle caught a TD pass in the NFC Divisional Round. San Francisco’s No. 85 ranks as a quality third option to boost the appeal of this wager.
Either Team Kicks Game-Winning, Walk-Off Field Goal At The End Of Normal Time: (+800) • DraftKings Sportsbook
I expect Super Bowl 58 to be an evenly matched game. Therefore, I like the longer odds on this nifty wager. Harrison Butker handed the Chiefs Super Bowl 57 last year with a 27-yard game-winner with eight seconds remaining.
The Chiefs kicker also made the 45-yarder to win last season’s AFC Championship Game, and he has notched all seven of his field goals and extra point attempts during this season’s playoffs. 49ers rookie Jake Moody has missed a kick in each of his two playoff games but made two second-half field goals that helped clinch the NFC Championship Game.
Kansas City has won its last two playoff games by seven and three points, respectively. Andy Reid’s club should be involved in another tight postseason matchup this time. Both of San Francisco’s NFC playoff games were decided by three points.
Will Super Bowl LIV Repeat?: Nick Bosa 1+ Sacks, Fred Warner 7+ Tackles & Assists (+175) • DraftKings Sportsbook
The Ravens sacked Patrick Mahomes twice last week, and the Chiefs’ superstar was brought down two-plus times in his final three regular season games.
Bosa had two sacks in the NFC Championship Game vs Detroit; Pro Football Focus notes that he has the highest pass-rush grade of his career heading into Super Bowl 58 (92.6). Kansas City right tackle Jawaan Taylor, who has allowed 54 pressures during the playoffs, had a 41.0 overall grade during the regular season, which ranked 27th among 28 qualifying offensive tackles.
When combining tackles and assists, Warner has finished past the projected total in his last six games, including the playoffs. — Scott Engel
SLEEPER DFS PICKS
Player and game props can be just as fun as betting sides and totals, and we’ll prove it! Sam Wagman shares a pair of his favorite props for the Super Bowl from the Sleeper app.
Sleeper daily fantasy sports features pay-to-play contests with cash prizes. Players can try their hand at Over/Under picks on player props, or join larger competitions similar to traditional DFS formats.
Travis Kelce: OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards
Travis Kelce has hit this in each of his last 12 playoff games, so the public is going to be all over this number.
How could they not? Kelce is the most integral part of the Chiefs’ passing attack this season. His route-running and ability to get open probably rank best among NFL tight ends.
He’s averaging 87.3 receiving yards per game in the 2023 playoffs. Despite the 49ers’ best efforts at covering him, I imagine he’ll be able to carve out another 70-plus-yard performance in SB58, too.
Jauan Jennings: UNDER 1.5 Receptions
Although Jauan Jennings has gone over this number in seven of 15 games this season, let’s take a closer look.
In those games with BOTH Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel playing, Jennings only went over 1.5 catches in two games: Week 13 vs Philadelphia (awful secondary) and Week 15 vs Arizona (garbage time on a pass from Sam Darnold).
Two of 15 games: that’s not a trustworthy pace at all. The Chiefs have specialized in not allowing receptions on short-to-intermediate routes, in which Jennings would gain most or all of his attention from Brocky Purdy.
I’m looking at much more of a contained passing game from San Francisco in this one, and hopping on the under.
THE LATEST CHATTER FROM CAPS OFF
The Caps Off crew is in Vegas for the Super Bowl. Follow along for more from radio row!
@capsoffpodcast Brock Purdy deserves an apology 🫡 #brockpurdy #brockpurdy49ers #brockpurdyfanclub #sanfrancisco49er #sanfrancisco49ersfan #sanfrancisco49e... See more
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