- Back Office Buzz
- Posts
- Week 3 Recap + MNF Predictions 🏈💰📺
Week 3 Recap + MNF Predictions 🏈💰📺
A quick recap of everything that happened in Week 3, and then we can get into our MNF Predictions!
NFL Week 2 Betting Summary:
Overs: 5-9 🔥
Underdogs: 5-9 vs. ML 🐶
Favorites: 9-5 ATS 🤑
Best Bet: Cardinals (+470) ML against the Cowboys
Lions 20, Falcons 6
Detroit: The Lions seem to know the secret to how to draft. Rookies Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta stepped up big for this team. 👶
Atlanta: Desmond Ridder is horrible and Kyle Pitts would be the best tight end in the league on any other team. ⭐️
Chargers 28, Vikings 24
Los Angeles: Justin Herbert saved Brandon Staley’s job by throwing for 405 yards and three TDs. Plus, Mike Williams is out for the year with a torn ACL.🤕
Minnesota: 0-3. 😳
Packers 18, Saints 17
Green Bay: Jordan Love rallied the Packers from a 17-0 deficit, completing 22-of-44 passes for 259 yards and a TD. They can’t miss with quarterbacks. 😤
New Orleans: Does Derek Carr’s shoulder injury mean Jameis Winston time? ⏲
Texans 37, Jaguars 17
Houston: The future is bright in Houston with C.J. Stroud going for 280 yards and two TDs. 🔮✨
Jacksonville: Is this just a slow start or are they the most overrated team in the league? 💩
Dolphins 70, Broncos 20
Miami: WTF! 🤯 70 points and 726 total yards. What a start to the season! Tua Tagovailoa for MVP! 🏆
Denver: I guess you can say the defense is officially a problem. 🤣
My family does a tequila shot for every dolphins touchdown. Today’s historic win has be rethinking tradition.
— Buck Fuffalo (@Buck_Fuffalo)
10:39 PM • Sep 24, 2023
Browns 27, Titans 3
Cleveland: Their defense is ELITE! They have allowed -36 rushing yards before contact this season… the league average is +94.22. 😳
Tennessee: When will we see Malik Willis or Will Levis? 🤔
What the hell was Deshaun Watson thinking here? Who throws this backwards when wrapped up by a defender?
— CFBBlueprint (@CFBBluePrint)
5:47 PM • Sep 24, 2023
Myles making #Titans send 2 guys chasing him back and forth pre snap lmao 🔥🔥🔥💀
#DawgPound
— OG from CLE (@gmbuddyboy)
7:27 PM • Sep 24, 2023
Bills 37, Commanders 3
Buffalo: The Bills defense forced Sam Howell into four interceptions and nine sacks. 🦬
Washington: The Commanders have allowed 19 sacks in three games — that is the most allowed through three games in almost 20 years. 😳
Colts 22, Ravens 19
Indianapolis: The Colts are in first place.🥇Looks like they found a great coach in Shane Steichen.
Baltimore: Multiple missed penalty calls that cost them the game. Lamar Jackson had 303 total yards and two TDs.
Are you kidding, MPJ?
📺 CBS
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts)
8:17 PM • Sep 24, 2023
Patriots 15, Jets 10
New England: The offense operates at a deliberate and methodical pace, relying on the defense to secure their victories. Very underrated and can see them covering in most games underdog games they are in. 🐶
New York: The Zach Wilson experiment has to be over now. Robert Saleh will lose the locker room if he continues to start one of the biggest busts the NFL has ever seen. 💩
“He can’t throw it” - Garrett Wilson
It’s Week 4 and the Jets locker room will be in shambles ☠️
— Casey Halpern (@CaseyHalp)
8:07 PM • Sep 24, 2023
Seahawks 37, Panthers 27
Seattle: This offense is BAAACCKKK and really excited about what they can do for the rest of the season with big names on both sides of the ball.
Carolina: They need to beef up their offensive line if they ever want a 5’10” Bryce Young to excel.
Chiefs 41, Bears 10
Kansas City: The biggest storyline of this game was off the field. Taylor Swift was spotted at the game in Travis Kelce’s booth next to his mom. If you're a sports bettor, you should have immediately taken note of this news and bet on Kelce for an anytime touchdown. Why? Because obviously, he wants to show off and score a TD in front of his new girlfriend. And that's exactly what happened. 🤣
Chicago: The Bears just need to “shake it off” and move on to the next one. 🎶
After the 41-10 #Bears game, #Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes admitted he felt pressure to throw a TD to Travis Kelce after he heard Taylor Swift was coming to the game.
"Yeah, I felt pressure. I think he wanted to get into the end zone just as much as all the other Swifties wanted… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman)
11:50 PM • Sep 24, 2023
"Travis Kelce has had a lot of big catches in his career. This would be the biggest."
Bill Belichick shares his thoughts on Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift!— The Greg Hill Show (@TheGregHillShow)
12:02 PM • Sep 25, 2023
Cardinals 28, Cowboys 16
Dallas: If they are REAL Super Bowl contenders, they can’t have games like this. 😬
Arizona: I was skeptical about Jonathan Gannon, but the team looks to be buying what he is selling. 📈
Steelers 23, Raiders 18
Pittsburgh: Mid with T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick. 😐
Las Vegas: Even more mid with Maxx Crosby and Davante Adams. 😑
MNF Predictions: Eagles vs. Buccaneers (7:15 p.m. ET) & Rams vs. Bengals (8:15 p.m. ET) 🏈💰📺
Ah, another Monday Night Football double-header. Nothing is better than sitting on the couch after a long day of work and watching football. 🍿
Here’s everything you need to know from betting expert, Frank Ammirante.👇Plus, I added my CAN’T LOSE PARLAY! 🤑🚨
Double the football on MNF. Let’s run it back.
📺: ESPN/ABC
📱: Stream on NFL+— NFL (@NFL)
1:30 PM • Sep 25, 2023
The Eagles came into the year with Super Bowl aspirations, so their strong start isn’t a surprise, but it is for the Bucs, who many projected to be among the league’s bottom-feeders. In the later game, the 0-2 Bengals are in trouble with Joe Burrow dealing with a calf injury.
Here’s a look at our favorite Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay and Los Angeles vs. Cincinnati betting tips for Monday Night Football.
Eagles vs Buccaneers
The Bucs have allowed 555 passing yards (26th) and 382 yards to receivers (26th).
Tampa Bay has given up only 101 rushing yards this season (6th).
The Eagles have also locked down the run (89 rushing yards, tied for 1st).
Eagles -5 (-120) at Buccaneers
I love getting the Eagles at such a short price as five-point favorites.
I’m not putting too much stock in Philly’s struggles on offense or Tampa’s two-game winning streak.
The Eagles have advantages on both sides of the ball, including a superior pass rush and more explosive offense.
This feels like a game that could end in a double-digit Eagles victory rather than a closer game. I don’t see Tampa winning this one outright, so Eagles -5 feels like the safe play.
A.J. Brown: Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-135) at Buccaneers
A.J. Brown has gotten off to a slow start this season, putting up 109 yards in two games, including only 29 against the Vikings last week.
This performance led to Brown complaining to Jalen Hurts on the sidelines, so the Eagles’ star quarterback started force-feeding him the ball.
That resulted in Brown catching what would have been a long touchdown if it weren’t for a Rashaad Penny holding penalty.
So here we have a “squeaky-wheel" narrative, which is where a receiver gets fed with targets immediately following a poor game. The fact that Brown complained to Hurts makes this feel even more likely.
Rams vs Bengals
The Bengals have only 304 passing yards this season while the Rams have 641.
Joe Burrow is at a high risk of missing this game.
The Rams have gone 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Rams +3 (-110) at Bengals
The market is giving too much respect to the Bengals here as the Rams should be favored in this game.
Los Angeles’ offense has been quite impressive so far, especially considering they’ve been playing without Cooper Kupp.
I just can’t trust this Bengals team with its uncertainty at quarterback right now. Burrow has been a checkdown machine so far this season, and the offense has been highly inefficient.
Look for the Rams to get a road win, led by their passing game.
Can’t Lose MNF Parlay (+143) 🤑
The Philadelphia Eagles’ secondary hasn't been the best this season, allowing 364 yards to Kirk Cousins last week. Nonetheless, their defensive line is one of the best in the league. To prevent Baker Mayfield from getting sacked, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will need to get the ball out quickly. Chris Godwin stands to gain the most from this approach and I LOVE his Over 4.5 receptions. 🔒
He has hit that line in 9 of his last 10 games.
Puka Nacua's record-breaking 25 receptions mark the highest for a player in their initial three games during the Super Bowl era, and he hasn't even completed three games yet.
His 15 receptions last week set a new NFL record for the most receptions by a rookie in a single game. Somehow, his line is only at 5.5, so I am HAMMERING the over. 🔨
Reply