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- START D'Andre Swift in Week 3!
START D'Andre Swift in Week 3!
Plus: Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL TD Props, NFL Parlays, SNF, & WNBA Playoffs
D’Andre Swift has gotten off to a disappointing start to his Bears career, combining for only 48 rushing yards in two games.
But this feels like a good spot for the Bears to get their running game going.
Swift gets an exploitable matchup vs the Colts in Week 3. This is a team that has been completely gashed by Joe Mixon and Josh Jacobs in the first two games of the year.
Add in the fact that this could be a low-key high-scoring game indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium, and you can see why Swift needs to be in your lineup this week.
Find out my other Week 3 Start & Sit picks below.
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📋 BACK OFFICE BUZZ: THE RUNDOWN 9/22/24
Fantasy Football Rankings
NFL TD Props
NFL Parlays
Ravens vs Cowboys
Sunday Night Football
WNBA Playoffs
👀 Fantasy Football Rankings
I came into the season low on Alvin Kamara and the Saints — that couldn’t be more wrong.
New offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak has been masterful, allowing Kamara to turn back the clock and look like an elite fantasy RB1 once again.
Expect Kamara to keep it rolling against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, as the Eagles currently rank 31st in Rush EPA.
I’m ranking Kamara as RB2 overall in this smash spot.
For more fantasy football advice, read our Week 3 rankings. Frank Ammirante finished 12th overall for Week 1 in FantasyPros accuracy. Last season, he was 6th overall.
🎯 NFL TD Props
Amari Cooper: Anytime TD (+165)
Cooper has gotten off to a slow start to the season, catching five passes for 27 yards across Cleveland’s first two games.
However, it’s not like Deshaun Watson isn't trying to get Cooper the football. Watson has targeted Cooper a team-high 17 times, including twice in the red zone.
The embattled Browns quarterback addressed the connection issues between the two in the media this week, hinting that opposing defenses have been to blame for the lack of production thus far.
That shouldn’t be the case this week, as Cleveland hosts a Giants team that has allowed 8.2 yards per pass attempt, fifth-most in the NFL this season. New York’s secondary surrendered a pair of TD passes to Sam Darnold in Week 1, and can easily be exploited on Sunday.
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🏈 NFL Parlays
Week 3 Best Parlay (+261)
Texans ML (-142) @ Vikings
49ers -5.5 (-153) @ Rams
Bengals ML (-355) vs Commanders
My best NFL parlay for Week 3 kicks off with the Houston Texans to take care of business against the Minnesota Vikings in a matchup of 2-0 teams.
While I've been impressed with Sam Darnold and Co. thus far, the Vikings are coming off an emotional win and playing one of the NFL's top teams for a second straight week. This is a good time to sell high on the hosts, so I'm taking the Texans to eke out a win on the road.
Pairing the Texans with the 49ers to cover an alternate spread of -5.5 makes sense, as San Francisco will want to respond to last week's upset loss in Minnesota. Kyle Shanahan's squad will have a great chance to do so in LA, as the Rams are in the midst of an early-season injury crisis.
The Niners have won nine of their last 11 games against their NFC West rivals, with six of those victories coming by seven points or more. They should cover this alternate spread with ease.
Lastly, I’m backing the Bengals to get their first win of the season on Monday Night Football against the Commanders. Cincy needs to win this game to keep its season from spiraling, and Washington's defense presents a perfect opportunity for a get-right game for Joe Burrow.
🤠 Ravens vs Cowboys
Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction
Ravens 27, Cowboys 24
The Ravens could easily be 2-0 right now if Isaiah Likely was able to keep both feet in bounds vs the Chiefs and if they didn't blow a double-digit lead late in the game vs the Raiders.
On the other side, the Cowboys have some concerns, especially on defense, where they currently rank 32nd in rush EPA.
That's bad news against Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. We could see Baltimore gash the Cowboys on the ground in this one, just like the Saints did last week.
With that said, I do expect the Cowboys to have more success on offense this time around. After all, the Ravens have struggled defending the pass so far, ranking 26th in EPA.
There's a chance that this game becomes a total shootout, but I give the edge to the Ravens because they're the better team.
🎬 Sunday Night Football
Sunday Night Football Prediction
SNF Score Prediction: Chiefs 27, Falcons 20
The Chiefs won’t be at full strength when they visit Atlanta, as running back Isiah Pacheco (fractured fibula) is set to join wideout Hollywood Brown (shoulder) on IR. Still, KC should have enough offensive firepower to win this game on the road.
My confidence in that belief stems from Atlanta’s inability to get after opposing quarterbacks. The Falcons have generated pressure on 7.8% of dropbacks through two games — the lowest rate in the NFL — and allowed Jalen Hurts to have all the time in the world on Monday night.
You simply can’t do that against Patrick Mahomes. You also can’t blitz Mahomes, who is a genius at extending plays with his legs and taking advantage of single coverage. Getting pressure with four is paramount.
In Week 2, Cincinnati’s Trey Hendrickson was able to single-handedly disrupt KC’s offense by beating rookie LT Kingsley Suamataia (26.4 PFF pass-blocking grade). If the Falcons can’t take advantage of that weakness, it will be a long night for this defense.
🏀 WNBA Playoffs
The WNBA Playoffs tip off this afternoon, so let’s take a look at the latest winner odds, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:
New York Liberty (+145)
Las Vegas Aces (+250)
Minnesota Lynx (+350)
Connecticut Sun (+700)
Indiana Fever (+2800)
Seattle Storm (+3000)
Phoenix Mercury (+8000)
Atlanta Dream (+20000)
Sun vs Fever Series Prediction
No. 3 Sun (-180) vs No. 6 Fever (+155)
This has the potential to be the best opening-round playoff series. Connecticut is the league's best defensive team and has found consistent success under Curt Miller, but despite winning 20-plus games in seven of the last eight seasons, the Sun have yet to earn a WNBA title.
On the flip side, the Fever are back in the postseason for the first time since 2016, thanks in large part to the presence of Caitlin Clark. The rookie phenom led Indiana to 20 wins this year — its most since 2015 — despite starting the year at 3-10.
Connecticut won the season series with the Fever, 3-1, but Indiana won the most recent matchup on Aug. 28, 84-80. Both Fever home games were decided by exactly four points, while the Sun won both games in Connecticut by an average of 19 points.
Sun vs Fever Series Pick: Sun Win 2-1
Indiana impressed down the stretch of the season, but I'm not sure that this team is experienced enough to bring down a giant like the Sun. It doesn't help that the first two games of the series will be played in Connecticut, but if the Fever can steal one, Game 3 in Indianapolis will be a genuine toss-up.
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