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Week 12 MNF: Ravens vs Chargers
Plus: NBA Predictions, NFL Thanksgiving Odds, & Sportsbook Promos
Monday Night Football features an AFC showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers in Week 12.
It's the battle of the brothers with John Harbaugh and Jim Harbaugh. The Ravens (7-4) are coming off a tough loss vs the Steelers, while the Chargers (7-3) narrowly knocked off the Bengals.
This should be a high-scoring game because of the Ravens' struggles on pass defense.
Baltimore ranks 28th in Pass EPA, which has resulted in several shootouts this season:
W 35-34 vs Bengals
L 29-24 at Browns
W 41-31 at Buccaneers
W 30-23 vs Commanders
W 41-38 at Bengals
W 28-25 at Cowboys
L 26-23 vs Raiders
Justin Herbert has thrown for 275+ yards in three of his last four games. We should see him continue to move the ball effectively against this defense.
With that said, I don't think the Chargers will be able to slow down the Ravens offense like the Steelers just did.
We just saw Joe Burrow pick apart this Chargers defense for 356 yards and three touchdowns.
Lamar Jackson has been better as a passer than ever before, leading an offense that ranks 1st in Pass EPA, so expect him to have success vs this defense.
Look for the Ravens to bounce back in a shootout victory over the Chargers.
MNF Score Prediction: Ravens 31, Chargers 27
Let’s get a sneak peek of my Week 12 MNF best bets.
MNF Player Prop: Justin Herbert Over 259.5 Passing Yards (-130)
This is a great spot for Justin Herbert against a Ravens defense that ranks 28th in Pass EPA.
Baltimore is allowing 304.4 passing yards per game, while Herbert has put up 260+ passing yards in four of his last five games.
It's a low bar for Herbert, especially in a game that the Chargers are likely to play from behind.
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📋 BACK OFFICE BUZZ: THE RUNDOWN 11/25/24
NBA Props
NFL Thanksgiving Odds
Best Sportsbook Promos
🏀 NBA Props
Trae Young: Over 33.5 Points+Assists (-120) vs Mavericks
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Trae Young is averaging 21.2 potential assists per game, which ranks 1st in the NBA.
The Mavericks vs Hawks game has the highest total on the slate (237.5 points), so Young should have plenty of opportunities for assists.
I'm going with points+assists rather than just assists because there's more value on this prop.
We're getting a favorable number at DraftKings, as this is 34.5 at FanDuel.
Look for Young to stuff the stat sheet
🏈 NFL Thanksgiving Odds
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions (12:30 p.m. ET)
Bears +10.5 (-112) @ Lions -10.5 (-108)
Although it's terrifying to fade the Lions right now, I'm tempted to take the points with the Bears, especially since Detroit has lost seven straight Thanksgiving Day games.
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys (4:30 p.m. ET)
Giants +4 (-110) @ Cowboys -4 (-110)
This game won't be pretty, but I'm backing the Cowboys to earn another lopsided home win on Thanksgiving.
Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers (8:20 p.m. ET)
Dolphins +3.5 (-115) @ Packers -3.5 (-105)
This game should be close, so I lean toward taking the points with the Dolphins.
Click the link below to read a more detailed breakdown of each game.
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