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- EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW FOR WEEK 6! ๐๐ค
EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW FOR WEEK 6! ๐๐ค
Thursday Night Football Preview ๐๐ธ
Week 6 Start โEm, Sit โEm ๐๐ช
Buy Low, Sell High ๐ค๐จ
Sleepers & Busts ๐ด ๐ฉ
Injuries to Keep an Eye on ๐๐ค
Matchups to Exploit โญ๏ธ๐
Player Stats to Know ๐
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW ๐๐
Broncos vs. Chiefs | Tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video
Weโre at the home of the champs for #TNFonPrime!
๐: @Broncos vs. @Chiefs | #TNFonPrime
๐บ: Thursday, 7PM ET, only on @PrimeVideoโ NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime)
2:00 PM โข Oct 11, 2023
Right off the bat, this could be another in a long line of hideous Thursday night games like weโve become accustomed to in the past few seasons.
On one side, you have a Broncos team that has struggled to stop anyone, whether itโs through the air or on the ground. Theyโve given up yards all over the place and even made the Bears look like an offensive juggernaut in Week 4.
On the other, Patrick Mahomes looms large as someone who can place the ball where he wants. In addition to that, the Chiefsโ defense is playing at a ceiling level, with their secondary allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season.
Divisional games can be tricky, so even though all of this information screams Kansas City by multiple touchdowns, Iโm not sure that thatโs the way to approach this game. The Chiefs have struggled to cover spreads.
Knowing this, and seeing that Travis Kelce could be limited in this game coming off an ankle sprain suffered last week, it would seem prudent for the Chiefs to lean on Isiah Pacheco and their defense in an attempt to win this game against the Broncos.
Scroll down for our Week 6 fantasy football and betting BREAKDOWN!
WEEK 6 START โEM, SIT โEM ๐๐ช
Start โEm: Garrett Wilson vs Eagles
This pick is not just to please Brian, the guy who sends out the newsletters and was the first one we knew to buy an Aaron Rodgers Jets jersey. But now he can take his Zach Wilson jersey out of the closet and not be embarrassed to wear it.
The Jetsโ โfill-inโ QB has performed respectably over the last two weeks and will get the ball frequently enough to his best WR this week. The Eagles rank 29th in Fantasy Points Per Game allowed to wide receivers.
it's a dot
@ZachWilson | @GarrettWilson_V
โ New York Jets (@nyjets)
4:09 PM โข Oct 10, 2023
Start โEm: Matthew Stafford vs Cardinals
He is an ideal plugger if you lost Anthony Richardson, or for those who stream QB starters. Stafford has Cooper Kupp back to complete an impressive trio of WRs with Puka Nacua and Tutu Atwell.
The Rams QB is fourth in the NFL in passing yardage and the Cardinals rank 29th in FFPG allowed to QBs.
Sit โEm: Jared Goff vs Buccaneers
The Detroit QB should mostly be started in home games. He has thrown eight TD passes in his last 10 road games. Tampa Bay ranks third in passing yards allowed to QBs.
Sit โEm: Terry McLaurin vs Falcons
He has reached 55 receiving yards in a game once this season. The Atlanta pass defense has been performing better than some may have noticed and ranks fifth in FFPG allowed to WRs.
BUY LOW, SELL HIGH ๐ค๐จ
BUY LOW on DeVonta Smith
A.J. Brown has been dominant over the past three games, while Smith is coming off a one-catch performance and he had 28 receiving yards in Week 3. Jalen Hurts will look to get Smith back involved in the passing flow very soon.
SELL HIGH on Gabe Davis
He has caught TD passes in four consecutive games, but you cannot rely on TD-dependent fantasy WRs. Davis has topped 65 yards once this season and has three games of three or fewer receptions.
BUY LOW on Jonathan Taylor
He had just 34 yards from scrimmage in Week 5 while Zack Moss shined again. Some fantasy players who currently roster him either cannot or will not be patient with Taylor, who will soon surpass Moss in workload after signing a huge contract.
Jonathan Taylor finding out Zack Moss has been playing well in his absence
โ Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz)
1:01 PM โข Oct 5, 2023
SELL HIGH on Josh Jacobs
He has rushed for TDs in two consecutive games and Jacobs still has significant name value based on his 2022 production. Realistically, he has yet to rush for 70 yards in a game so far this season.
SLEEPERS & BUSTS ๐ด๐ฉ
Sleeper: DJ Chark, Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins
Bryce Young started to show some statistical progress last week, throwing three TD passes against Detroit. Chark caught one of those scoring passes, an 18-yarder.
The Panthers will surely be playing from behind, and Miami ranks 21st in yardage allowed to WRs. Chark is averaging 17.1 yards per reception.
Sleeper: Logan Thomas, Washington Commanders @ Atlanta Falcons
Thomas has frequently dealt with injury concerns, but when he is available, the 6-foot-6, 250-pounder can sometimes post quality fantasy totals.
Thomas caught nine of 11 targets for 77 yards and a TD in Week 5. The Falcons have allowed the second-most FFPG to TEs.
Logan Thomas laid it all on the line to get the first down ๐ณ @LoganThomasSr_6
#CHIvsWAS on Prime Video
Also available on #NFLPlusbit.ly/46grF5Pโ NFL (@NFL)
2:55 AM โข Oct 6, 2023
Bust: Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers vs Cleveland Browns
You cannot bench Aiyuk, but this is a week when he cannot be expected to boost fantasy teams to victories. The Browns rank first in FFPG allowed to WRs, a stat that illustrates Deebo Samuel might also be headed for a tough day.
Bust: Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens
The longtime axis of the Titansโ offense might frustrate those who roster him with another disappointing performance in Week 6. Baltimore has not allowed a rushing TD in 2023.
Look away Derrick Henry managers ๐ซฃ
โ PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy)
6:46 PM โข Oct 8, 2023
INJURIES TO KEEP AN EYE ON ๐๐ค
Justin Jefferson (hamstring)
According to The Athletic, K.J. Osborn is going to take over Justin Jeffersonโs role as the โX receiverโ in the Minnesota passing game. The Vikingsโ WR has 12 TD receptions over the past two seasons and has an established on-field relationship with Kirk Cousins. He should function as a startable fantasy WR3 while Jefferson is out with a hamstring injury.
Diontae Johnson (hamstring)
Published reports indicate that the Pittsburgh WR might be able to return after the Week 6 bye. Fantasy players are often open to trading guys who are injured or on a bye week, so if you are looking for a quality WR depth option, make an offer for Johnson before next week.
MATCHUPS TO EXPLOIT โญ๏ธ๐
Each week, Sam Wagman breaks down his favorite matchups to exploit that weekend in the NFL, from WR/CB to RB/DL. Letโs go through a couple favorites he likes this weekend.
WR/CB: Rams WRs vs Cardinals CBs
We knew this group would be fearsome once Cooper Kupp returned to the lineup, but we may have overlooked the fact that Kupp would immediately pick up where he left off and that Puka Nacua would assume the Robert Woods role right alongside him.
The two combined for 189 yards last week against the Eagles and now got another advantageous matchup against the Cardinalsโ below-average secondary unit. Expect Nacua to feast against perimeter CB Marco Wilson this weekend, who has given up 0.61 Fantasy Points per Pass Route this season and has shadowed at times.
Kupp would work against Jalen Thompson or Antonio Hamilton, both of whom have been solid matchups this year, though guarding Kupp is never easy. Kupp looked right at home running his normal complement of routes last week, so both he and Nacua are top-15 plays this week.
I like Puka Nacua as much as the next guyโฆbut Cooper Kupp is a different breed.
Just watch them both do this drill. Itโs night and day.
โ Frank J. Dyevoich, Esq.โ๏ธ๐ (@Fantasy_Giant)
4:27 PM โข Oct 5, 2023
RB/DL: James Cook vs Giants DL
Honestly, I would be shocked if Cook was not able to run roughshod over the Giants this weekend, even with his diminished workload over the past couple weeks.
The Giants have had a running back rush for at least 70 yards in all five games this season, and it doesnโt seem to be letting up. Theyโve also given up at least one rushing touchdown in all five games, so it should be wheels up for Cook here.
Cook has been very efficient most of the 2023 season, and despite the fact that he hasnโt fully established command of the backfield yet, you can fire him up as a top-20 RB with some upside this week.
PLAYER STATS TO KNOW ๐
Jonnu Smith has five-plus receptions in each of his last three games. Kyle Pitts has five catches in two games this season.
Tyler Lockett has five receiving TDs in his past five road games. In four of his past five road games, DK Metcalf has finished with 70-plus receiving yards.
Zack Moss ranks third in the NFL with 445 rushing yards. He has 100-plus scrimmage yards and a TD in four of his past five games overall.
Breece Hall has averaged 98.8 scrimmage yards in six career home games. In Week 5, he became the first Jets player ever to deliver two games of 175-plus scrimmage yards in his first two seasons.
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